Kamis, 06 Februari 2020

Uber Posts Faster Growth, but Loses $1.1 Billion - The New York Times

SAN FRANCISCO — Uber capped a difficult 2019 by posting faster growth in its ride-hailing business, even as it lost more money.

On Thursday, Uber said its revenue in the fourth quarter of 2019 increased 37 percent to $4 billion from a year ago, faster than the 30 percent growth it recorded in the previous quarter. The company lost $1.1 billion, more than the $887 million it lost a year earlier.

“We recognize that the era of growth at all costs is over,” said Dara Khosrowshahi, Uber’s chief executive. “I’m gratified by our progress, steadily delivering against the commitments we’ve made to our shareholders on our path to profitability.”

The results were driven by Uber’s main ride-hailing business, with the number of trips rising 28 percent to more than 1.9 billion from a year ago and revenue increasing 27 percent to more than $3 billion. In contrast, Uber’s food delivery business, called Uber Eats, lost $461 million on revenue of $734 million.

Mr. Khosrowshahi previously said Uber aimed to make an operating profit by 2021. But on Thursday, he said the company would reach that milestone by the final quarter of 2020, ahead of schedule.

Nelson Chai, Uber’s chief financial officer, added that Uber expected to earn adjusted revenue of $16 billion to $17 billion this year as it worked to become profitable. The company also plans to cut back on the discounts and coupons it has used to grow, he said, calling them “bookings that are essentially empty calories.”

Uber had gone into retreat for much of 2019 after staging a disappointing initial public offering in May. The company, which spends a lot of money to attract passengers and drivers, immediately faced doubts over whether it could ever make a profit. Since then, Uber’s stock has plunged.

In response to its critics, Mr. Khosrowshahi has cut costs at the company and pulled back parts of its business. Last year, he laid off more than 1,000 employees and withdrew Uber’s food delivery service from South Korea. Last month, Mr. Khosrowshahi also sold Uber’s food delivery business in India to a local competitor, Zomato.

“Clearly, Uber has put out a somewhat aggressive timeline for profitability,” said Tom White, a senior equity research analyst at D.A. Davidson. “These exits are partly a function of them making sure they meet that target.”

Uber is dealing with other challenges. On Jan. 1, California legislation went into effect that may force the company to reclassify its drivers, who are freelancers, as employees. That would drive up Uber’s costs because it would have to provide them with benefits and other perks. Uber last year filed a suit to block the law and has asked for a preliminary injunction that would give it a reprieve from the new rules until the case was resolved.

The company also faces hurdles in London, one of its biggest markets. In November, London authorities decided not to extend Uber’s taxi operating license because of persistent safety problems. Uber continues to operate there while it appeals the decision.

“Regulation of ride sharing is finally catching up,” Mr. White said. “These businesses are looking less and less like these completely transformative, transportation-as-a-service models, and more and more like tech-enabled taxi companies. You have a lot more regulation, a lot more fees and a lot more oversight, which generally raises costs.”

It has not been all bad news for the company. A court in Brazil ruled on Wednesday that Uber’s drivers could not be considered employees.

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2020-02-06 21:05:00Z
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SpaceX may spin out internet-from-space business and make it public - The Verge

SpaceX may spin off its massive internet-from-space initiative called Starlink into a separate business and take the company public, according to Gwynne Shotwell, the company’s president. Shotwell made the comments today at an event for private investors in Miami, Florida, Bloomberg reports.

“That particular piece is an element of the business that we are likely to spin out and go public,” Shotwell said, according to Bloomberg. “Right now, we are a private company, but Starlink is the right kind of business that we can go ahead and take public.”

Starlink is an ambitious proposal: a constellation of nearly 12,000 satellites designed to beam down broadband internet coverage to every part of the globe. So far, SpaceX has launched 240 satellites for Starlink, making the company the operator of the largest active satellite constellation in the world. The company has plans to launch up to 24 missions this year, sending up 60 satellites per flight. Shotwell claimed last year that the company would start rolling out partial coverage with the constellation in 2020.

Pursuing an initial public offering for Starlink would be a big step for the Elon Musk-run SpaceX, which has remained private since it was founded in 2002. Musk, who notoriously hates publicly traded companies, has in the past said he wouldn’t take SpaceX public until the company’s Mars vehicle was complete. “Some at SpaceX who have not been through a public company experience may think that being public is desirable,” Musk wrote in an email to SpaceX employees in 2013. “This is not so. Public company stocks, particularly if big step changes in technology are involved, go through extreme volatility, both for reasons of internal execution and for reasons that have nothing to do with anything except the economy.”

The most recent valuation of SpaceX put the company at around $33.3 billion, according to CNBC. Most of SpaceX’s business has revolved around sending satellites or cargo into orbit, with NASA, the Department of Defense, or private satellite operators as customers. But with Starlink, SpaceX plans to sell a service directly to the general public. Customers will be able to purchase user terminals to patch into the Starlink constellation, turning SpaceX into a consumer-facing business.

Starlink has previously been advertised as an important part of SpaceX’s future. Musk has claimed that the revenue from the project will help fund sending people to the Moon and Mars. Right now, SpaceX is working on a next-generation rocket called Starship to jump-start the company’s interplanetary ambitions. Musk has said that the development of Starship could cost between $2 billion and $10 billion.

SpaceX isn’t the only company pursuing the internet-from-space business. Other private companies such as OneWeb, Kepler Communications, and even Amazon have proposed building massive constellations to beam internet coverage to the Earth below. So far, only SpaceX and OneWeb have begun launching satellites.

Starlink has also been a source of controversy for those in the astronomy community who are concerned that the massive constellation could muck up their observations of the night sky. The Starlink satellites are particularly bright and have already ruined exposure images taken by telescopes on the ground. SpaceX tried to mitigate this problem by coating one of its satellites to make it appear darker in the sky. It’s unclear if the coating has worked yet, and SpaceX plans to continue launching its bright satellites in the meantime.

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2020-02-06 19:06:16Z
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Should You Buy or Sell Tesla Stock Right Now? - Motley Fool

With Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares skyrocketing in recent months, many investors probably have the same question: Should I buy or sell Tesla stock right now?

The stock has soared more than 200% over the past six months, with 65% of this gain occurring in the past 30 days. Some investors on the sidelines may be feeling like they are missing out. Furthermore, owners of the electric-car maker's stock may be wondering if this is a good time to take profits.

So what should investors do?

Unfortunately, the best answer may not be the one you're looking for. In a scenario like this, the reasonable course of action may be to simply do nothing.

Here's why.

Tesla vehicles outside of Tesla's factory in Fremont, California

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Strong growth prospects

There's no denying the strong growth trajectory of Tesla's business. The company delivered about 368,000 vehicles in 2019 -- up 50% year over year. This performance was driven primarily by a more than doubling of the company's Model 3 deliveries. The vehicle, which is Tesla's most recently launched electric car, accounted for 82% of deliveries during the year.

To understand just how extraordinary Tesla's momentum is, it's helpful to zoom out a few years. The company wrapped up 2019 with nearly $25 billion of revenue. That compares with sales of about $3 billion only five years ago. More importantly, the company has gone from burning through billions of dollars of cash annually to generating about $1 billion of free cash flow in 2019 -- and management believes positive cash flow, for the most part, is here to stay.

"We expect positive quarterly free cash flow going forward, with possible temporary exceptions, particularly around the launch and ramp of new products," said management in the company's fourth-quarter update. "We continue to believe our business has grown to the point of being self-funding."

Looking ahead, the company is positioned to benefit from its robust product pipeline. As 2019 came to a close, Tesla started production of its China-made Model 3 at a factory in Shanghai (though, of course, production is currently paused because of the coronavirus outbreak). The new factory, which was built in less than a year, positions the company well to cater to the world's largest auto market. In addition, The automaker's Model Y crossover is coming to market sooner than originally planned, with deliveries starting in the first quarter of 2020. Then, of course, there's the Tesla Cybertruck and Tesla Semi, both of which are in development but are expected to hit the market in the coming years.

Lacking a margin of safety

Despite the company's impressive pace of execution recently, investors need to give valuation the weight it deserves when making investment decisions. No matter how exciting a company's prospects might seem, valuation cannot be ignored. Price matters.

Tesla stock's valuation after its torrid run-up means shares are pricing in exponential business growth for years to come, leaving little room for error. Currently, Tesla trades at about 120 times 2019 free cash flow. While growth stocks like Tesla should trade at premium valuations, this is particularly high -- especially for a company in a capital intensive industry. For Tesla to trade at a more reasonable price-to-free cash flow ratio of around 20 in the future, free cash flow will need to increase nearly sevenfold.

Even if Tesla can grow its annual free cash flow to $7 billion, it could take much longer than investors expect. The capital-intensive nature of the auto business may make profitably scaling operations more difficult than anticipated. Furthermore, future competition in the space could prove more formidable than expected. 

In short, the stock's valuation today leaves no margin of safety for investors.

Winners often keep on winning

Of course, there's always a chance that Tesla goes on to exceed even the greatest expectations for the company. This is why shareholders shouldn't rush to sell, despite the stock's high price tag.

As it turns out, winners often keep on winning. Consider disruptive and innovative companies such as Amazon.com, Facebook, Apple, and Netflix. Shareholders willing to hold these companies for the long haul -- even through all the periods when they were considered overvalued -- were rewarded handsomely.

Indeed, perhaps Tesla continues to widen its lead in fully electric vehicles and the global automotive market hits a tipping point in which consumers begin adopting electric vehicles en masse.

This could happen. On the other hand, it may be a pipe dream.

Buy, sell, or do nothing?

Considering both Tesla's speculative valuation and the fact that disruptive companies can sometimes greatly exceed expectations, investors thinking about taking action on Tesla stock may want to exercise the privilege of simply staying put and doing nothing.

Of course, no one knows with certainty whether it's best to buy, sell, or hold Tesla stock today. Shares could fall sharply from here, leaving shareholders feeling as if they missed a great opportunity to take profits. On the other hand, business execution in the coming years could exceed the euphoric expectations priced into the stock today.

Investors only have limited information in front of them -- information, in this case, that makes it unclear what action should be taken. Tesla is growing rapidly, and management is executing with more precision. Yet the stock's valuation prices in more extraordinary growth, which could be realized but may also prove to be far from reality.

Investors thinking about taking action on Tesla stock, therefore, may want to simply sit tight.

Stay on the sidelines if you're already there and hope for a better buying opportunity in the future. If you're a shareholder, tune out the volatility and hold on to your shares as long as the underlying business is meeting or exceeding your expectations.

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2020-02-06 14:01:00Z
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Dow Jones Today, Stocks Struggle, Despite China Tariff Cut: Twitter Soars, Paycom Dives On Earnings - Investor's Business Daily

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  1. Dow Jones Today, Stocks Struggle, Despite China Tariff Cut: Twitter Soars, Paycom Dives On Earnings  Investor's Business Daily
  2. Dow erases 100-point gain, falls from record high  CNBC
  3. Dow set to jump 300 points as market rally extends for a third day  msnNOW
  4. Dow Jones Futures: After Uneven Stock Market Rally, Qualcomm, Twilio, Paycom, Peloton Are Big Earnings Movers  Investor's Business Daily
  5. Stocks - US Futures Point Higher as China Cuts Tariffs  Investing.com
  6. View full coverage on Google News

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2020-02-06 14:44:00Z
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China tariff cut set to power Wall St to record highs - Reuters

(Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes were set to hit record highs at the open on Thursday as China’s plan to chop additional tariffs on some American goods by 50% helped ease fears over the financial fallout of the coronavirus epidemic.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly after the opening bell in New York, U.S., February 3, 2020. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson

Beijing said it would lower extra levies imposed last year against 1,717 U.S. products, weeks after the signing of a Phase 1 trade deal.

The tariff cut follows hefty monetary stimulus by China’s central bank earlier this week to support an economy hit by shutdowns and travel restrictions due to the virus outbreak.

“The fear investors had when the virus first started seems to have abated somewhat,” said Rick Meckler, partner, Cherry Lane Investments, a family investment office in New Vernon, New Jersey.

A string of positive U.S. economic data too have helped mitigate worries, fueling a three-day rally on Wall Street. The Nasdaq .IXIC hit a record high on Wednesday and the S&P 500 .SPX is on pace for its best week in eight months after last week's steep pullback.

However, the impact of the health emergency in China continued to show up in corporate reports. Chipmaker Qualcomm Inc (QCOM.O) flagged a potential threat to the mobile phone industry from the outbreak, with a possible impact on manufacturing and sales.

Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.

At 8:26 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis 1YMcv1 were up 109 points, or 0.37%. S&P 500 e-minis EScv1 were up 10.5 points, or 0.31% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis NQcv1 were up 33.5 points, or 0.36%.

The fourth-quarter earnings season is more than half done with nearly 70% of S&P 500 companies exceeding their earnings estimates, according to IBES data form Refinitiv.

Twitter Inc (TWTR.N) gained about 8.3% after the micro-blogging platform touched $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time ever, beating analysts’ estimates.

Breakfast cereal maker Kellogg Co (K.N) tumbled 6.3% after it reported a decline in fourth-quarter sales.

Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) slipped 3.4%, falling for the second day after a stunning six-day rally.

As the week draws to a close, investor attention will shift to the crucial U.S. jobs report on Friday.

Reporting by Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur and Saumyadeb Chakrabarty

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2020-02-06 13:07:00Z
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5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday - CNBC

1. Dow set to continue this week's rally

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on January 21, 2020 in New York City.

Spencer Platt | Getty Images

U.S. stock futures were moving higher again Thursday morning. Wall Street's powerful rally Wednesday pushed the S&P 500 to an all-time high close. The index joined the Nasdaq in record territory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared more than 480 points Wednesday after a 400-plus-point advance Tuesday and a more than 140-point gain Monday. The indicated gains at Thursday's open could send the Dow back to record highs, making Friday's over 600-point coronavirus-driven sell-off seem like a distant memory. Investors got weekly jobless claims data before-the-bell. New filings for unemployment benefits dropped to a nine-month low last week. This comes after Wednesday's strong ADP private-sector jobs numbers for January and ahead of the government's latest monthly employment report on Friday. Mattress maker Casper is set to begin trading Thursday after pricing its initial public offering at $12 per share, the low end of its expected range.

2. Twitter shares jump on strong Q4 daily active user growth

Twitter CEO and co-founder Jack Dorsey gestures while interacting with students at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in New Delhi on November 12, 2018.

Prakash Singh | AFP | Getty Images

Shares of Twitter were jumping more than 8% in the premarket after the social network reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue and daily active users. Twitter missed estimates on Q4 earnings and warned on outlook. However, the stock move higher seemed to be all about the 21% active-user growth to 152 million in the fourth quarter. Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey said in the earnings press release, "We reached a new milestone in Q4 with quarterly revenue in excess of $1 billion." Last quarter, Twitter reported "a number of headwinds" that contributed to a revenue shortfall, sending the stock down more than 20% at the time.

3. Tesla under pressure again after this week's spike

SpaceX owner and Tesla CEO Elon Musk gestures during a conversation at the E3 gaming convention in Los Angeles, June 13, 2019.

Mike Blake | Reuters

Shares of skyrocketing Tesla were under pressure in Thursday's premarket trading. The stock plunged 17% on Wednesday to $734.70 after surging nearly 20% on Monday and almost 14% on Tuesday. Tesla temporarily closed its stores in mainland China as of last Sunday, according to an online post from a company sales employee. That comes after a company executive said cars initially scheduled for delivery in early February will be delayed due to the coronavirus outbreak. Tesla shares have gone parabolic in 2020, gaining 75% since Jan. 1 and about 220% in the past six months.

4. Confirmed coronavirus cases rise to 28,000 in China, with over 560 deaths

A Chinese man wears a protective mask as he walks during a snowfall in an empty commercial street on February 5, 2020 in Beijing, China.

Kevin Frayer | Getty Images

Chinese health officials overnight increased their total of confirmed coronavirus cases to 28,018 in China. The death toll rose to 563 there. The Philippines and Hong Kong each have reported one fatality. Japan's health ministry said 10 more people on board the quarantined Diamond Princess cruise ship have tested positive for the virus, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 20 out of the 3,700 passengers and crew. Confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States held steady at 11 as of Wednesday. The World Health Organization said there's been more than 150 coronavirus cases in about two dozen countries outside of China.

5. China will cut in half tariff rates on $75 billion of US goods

A US cargo ship is seen at the Yangshan Deep-Water Port, an automated cargo wharf, in Shanghai on April 9, 2018.

Johannes Eisele | AFP | Getty Images

China announced Thursday that it will cut in half tariff rates on hundreds of U.S. goods worth about $75 billion. Retaliatory tariffs on some U.S. goods will be cut from 10% to 5%, and from 5% to 2.5% on others, according to China's Ministry of Finance. The reductions will take effect on Feb. 14, the same day the U.S. said it would cut in half tariff rates from 15% to 7.5% on $120 billion of Chinese goods. China said any further tariff adjustments will depend on how Chinese and U.S. trade relations evolve. The two sides reached a phase-one trade deal in December and President Donald Trump signed it in January. The U.S. and China are now looking to find new areas of agreement to further deescalate their trade war.

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2020-02-06 13:05:00Z
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Twitter reports $1.01B in Q4 revenues with 152M monetizable daily active users - TechCrunch

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2020-02-06 12:30:17Z
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